美女与野兽
四个台风接续而来，如何应对？_我的网站
A | MANILA, Philippines -- A Chinese coast guard ship and one of its militia vessels separately bumped a Philippine coast guard ship and a military-run supply boat Sunday off a contested shoal, Philippine officials said, in a serious flareup that could heighten fears of an armed conflict in the disputed South China Sea.A top Philippine security official told The Associated Press there were no injuries among the Filipino crew members and an assessment of the damage to both vessels was underway. The official added that the incidents near the Second Thomas Shoal could have been worse if they were not able to maneuver rapidly away from the Chinese ships. The official spoke on condition of anonymity due to a lack of authority to publicly discuss details of the incidents.The United States, a longtime treaty ally of the Philippines, immediately condemned the actions by China's ships. The Philippine government also condemned the latest confrontations in “the strongest degree” and called them a violation of Manila’s sovereignty.The Chinese coast guard said the Philippine vessels “trespassed” into what it said were Chinese waters “without authorization” despite repeated radio warnings, prompting its ships to stop them. It blamed the Philippine vessels for causing the collisions."The Philippine side’s behavior seriously violates the international rules on avoiding collisions at sea and threatens the navigation safety of our vessels,” the Chinese coast guard said in a statement posted on its website.The U.S. Ambassador to Manila, MaryKay Carlson, said in a post on X, formerly known as Twitter, that “the United States condemns the PRC's latest disruption of a legal Philippine resupply mission to Ayungin shoal, putting the lives of Filipino service members at risk.”She used the initials for China's formal name, the People's Republic of China, and the name the Philippines uses for the Second Thomas Shoal. She added that Washington was standing with its allies to help protect Philippine sovereignty and to support a free and open Indo-Pacific region.A Philippine government task force dealing with the South China Sea disputes said the collisions occurred as two Philippine supply boats escorted by two Philippine coast guard ships were heading to deliver food and other supplies to the atoll in the face of a years-long Chinese blockade.The task force said it “condemns in the strongest degree the latest dangerous, irresponsible, and illegal actions of the Chinese coast guard and the Chinese maritime militia done this morning in violation of Philippine sovereignty, sovereign rights and jurisdiction."The actions by the Chinese ships were “in utter blatant disregard of the United Nations Charter, the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea” and international regulations that aim to prevent sea collisions, said the Philippine task force, which includes the country’s defense and foreign affairs departments, the military, national security council and the coast guard.Near-collisions have happened frequently as Philippine vessels regularly deliver supplies to Filipino marines and sailors stationed on the disputed shoal. But this was the first time Philippine officials have reported their country’s vessels being hit by China’s ships.In the first incident that happened Sunday morning, “dangerous blocking maneuvers of China coast guard vessel 5203 caused it to collide with the Armed Forces of the Philippines-contracted indigenous resupply boat Unaiza May 2,” the task force statement said. It said the “provocative, irresponsible, and illegal action” of the Chinese coast guard ship “imperiled the safety of the crew."The Chinese coast guard gave a different version and said the Philippine supply boat deliberately crossed the bow of its ship, which was on a routine law enforcement patrol, “resulting in a slight collision."Separately, Philippine coast guard ship BRP Cabra’s left side “was bumped by Chinese maritime militia vessel 00003 while it was lying to” northeast of the Second Thomas Shoal, the statement said.The Chinese coast guard said the Philippine ship “deliberately provoked trouble” by reversing its direction, causing its stern to collide with the Chinese vessel and “heating up the situation at the scene." In the past, Chinese officials have played down claims that the Chinese vessels were military militia ships meant to look like fishing boats.Despite the Chinese coast guard blockade, one of the two Philippine navy-manned boats managed to maneuver past the Chinese vessels and deliver supplies to the small contingent stationed on board a long-marooned but still actively commissioned warship, the BRP Sierra Madre, the task force said.It was the latest flare-up in long-simmering territorial disputes in the South China Sea, one of the world’s busiest trade routes. The conflicts, which involve China, the Philippines, Vietnam, Malaysia, Taiwan and Brunei, are regarded as a potential flashpoint and have become a delicate fault line in U.S.-China rivalry in the region.In early August, a Chinese coast guard ship used a water cannon against one of two Philippine supply boats to prevent it from approaching Second Thomas Shoal. The move, which was caught on video, outraged President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. and prompted the Department of Foreign Affairs in Manila to summon the Chinese ambassador to convey a strongly worded protest.Washington reacted by renewing a warning that it is obligated to defend the Philippines as a treaty ally.The Chinese Foreign Ministry accused Washington of “threatening China” by raising the possibility of activating the U.S.-Philippine mutual defense treaty. Beijing has repeatedly warned the U.S. not to meddle in regional territorial disputes.Later in August, the Philippines again deployed two boats that got past the Chinese coast guard blockade and delivered supplies to the Filipino forces at Second Thomas Shoal. Two Philippine coast guard ships escorting the supply boats, however, were prevented by Chinese coast guard ships from maneuvering closer to the shoal. A U.S. Navy surveillance aircraft flew in circles in support of the Philippine vessels as the standoff continued for more than three hours.A 2016 arbitration ruling set up under the 1982 U.N. Convention on the Law of the Sea invalidated Beijing’s claims on historical grounds to virtually the entire South China Sea. China refused to participate in the arbitration sought by the Philippines, rejected the decision and continues to defy it.___Associated Press journalist Huizhong Wu contributed to this report from Bangkok.。 过去的6天时间里，又有4个新台风陆续生成。
B | 台风“简拉维”24日中午在福建泉州沿海登陆，台风“紫檀”一直“滞留”在北部湾，给广西等地带去强降雨。台风“艾莎尼”和台风“沙德尔”则正在行进中。四个台风将会影响哪些地区?今年台风为啥这么多?面对已经出现的灾害风险，广西又在如何抢险救灾?本期《新闻1+1》带来分析解读。 四个台风同存在、同时活跃是否常见? 中央气象台首席预报员 周冠博：四个台风共舞在历史上来说是比较罕见的，但也不是绝无仅有。
C | 目前“紫檀”和“简拉维”互旋效应比较明显。“艾莎尼”和“沙德尔”由于距离比较远，“沙德尔”的体积比较小，强度比较弱，所以它们互旋的情况比较微弱。但不管怎么样，当有多个台风同时存在的时候，会给每个台风的路径和强度预报都带来极大的困难。所以它们的未来走向，以及强度的发展的不确定性都是比较大的，要密切关注不断更新的台风预警信息。
D | 四个台风最新变化一览
“简拉维”停止编号
中央气象台于24日晚8点将“简拉维”停止编号，但这不意味着它带来的影响减弱了。由于“简拉维”尾部大量季风云团涌入，福建中部沿海的水汽特别丰沛，再加上地形抬升的作用，未来的几天依然会受到残余涡旋的影响，也会给华东地区带来比较明显的降雨影响。
“紫檀”在北部湾打转
目前“紫檀”虽然没有登陆广西，但是从25日开始它将以5-10公里每小时的速度向偏北方向移动，逐渐向广西，以及广东的雷州半岛西侧靠近，由于它在同一个地方不断打转，风雨的叠加效应特别明显。 “艾莎尼”对“沙德尔”强度和路径发展会有一定影响
相较于“沙德尔”，新编号的“艾莎尼”强度比较弱，纬度又比较靠南，所以它们的距离比较远，目前不考虑互旋以及吞并的情况。但是随着“艾莎尼”不断向北移动，它停止编号之后的残余涡旋就会给“沙德尔”的强度和路径发展造成一定的影响。
“沙德尔”26日前后进入东海
“沙德尔”经过远洋西行之后，从广阔的西北太平洋上吸收更多的能量和水汽，所以它在26日进入我国东海之前，一直是维持超强台风的强度，甚至继续增长。26日移入我国之后，由于海温切变的影响，“沙德尔”强度有一定的不确定性。目前它的直径是比较庞大的，水汽也特别充沛，所以它将直面我国华东沿海地区，要密切防范“沙德尔”登陆时带来的强风降雨的影响。 今年台风数量较历史同期多9个，是什么原因?
周冠博：最主要的原因就是今年正处于一个超强的厄尔尼诺年，从今年的5月中旬开始，赤道中东太平洋的海温在持续飙升，强厄尔尼诺年会造成西北太平洋以及南海地区生成台风的个数偏多，强度也会偏强。
E | 随着海温继续飙升，影响和登陆我们国家的台风会明显偏多，偏强。据国家气候中心的统计，在9到11月，台风个数依然会有8-10个，其中3-5个会登陆或直接影响我国。 强降雨给北江乡造成什么影响? 总台记者 邓君洋：宁明县的北江乡、板棍乡、那勘镇、海渊镇发生了严重内涝，出现了断电、断路、断网、断水的情况，四个乡镇的村民受灾。北江乡大约有1.3万多人，大多数人在内涝发生之前就已经得到了预警预报提前转移了。县城有应急转移的安置点，同时有些村民也会到县城投靠亲友。目前村屯里面有一些行动不便但是家里有人照顾的老人，或者是一些即将要开学的学生，他们不想转移到太远的地方，那里还是有一些备用的物资供应，每天乡政府统计物资需求进行运送。 北江乡抢险救灾工作最新进展 邓君洋：北江乡受灾村落已经处在内涝之中了，从路边进村，进入到北江乡政府所在地大概需要一个小时左右，这一段路已经分不清是河道还是甘蔗地了，内涝积水很浑浊。
F | 但是我们隐约可以看到长高的甘蔗叶子，基于村干部反映，当地的甘蔗已经长到2-3米，说明内涝还是比较深的。应急救援人员主要是把医护人员、乡政府的轮值干部、电力救援人员，还有一些救援物资送进受灾的村落，再把一些轮班的干部、需要及时就医的村民 运送出来，整个过程还是比较顺利的。
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